Preseason Rankings
Nebraska Omaha
Summit League
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating-2.3#196
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace70.8#123
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+0.8#145
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-3.0#262
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9.6% 13.5% 7.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.8 14.4 15.1
.500 or above 38.4% 56.6% 28.8%
.500 or above in Conference 66.4% 76.1% 61.3%
Conference Champion 8.2% 11.9% 6.2%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four2.3% 2.0% 2.4%
First Round8.6% 12.7% 6.5%
Second Round0.7% 1.2% 0.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Austin Peay (Neutral) - 34.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 21 - 6
Quad 33 - 53 - 11
Quad 48 - 312 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 25, 2020 133   Austin Peay L 75-79 34%    
  Dec 01, 2020 12   @ Creighton L 67-88 3%    
  Dec 03, 2020 144   @ Drake L 71-77 28%    
  Dec 05, 2020 331   @ SIU Edwardsville W 79-72 75%    
  Dec 11, 2020 4   @ Kansas L 63-85 3%    
  Dec 16, 2020 50   @ Colorado L 67-82 9%    
  Dec 17, 2020 169   @ Wyoming L 69-74 34%    
  Dec 29, 2020 89   @ Kansas St. L 65-76 16%    
  Jan 02, 2021 178   Oral Roberts W 81-79 56%    
  Jan 03, 2021 178   Oral Roberts W 81-79 56%    
  Jan 08, 2021 165   @ North Dakota St. L 70-75 33%    
  Jan 09, 2021 165   @ North Dakota St. L 70-75 34%    
  Jan 15, 2021 100   South Dakota St. L 76-80 36%    
  Jan 16, 2021 100   South Dakota St. L 76-80 36%    
  Jan 29, 2021 206   @ South Dakota L 77-79 43%    
  Jan 30, 2021 206   @ South Dakota L 77-79 43%    
  Feb 06, 2021 333   Western Illinois W 87-73 88%    
  Feb 07, 2021 333   Western Illinois W 87-73 88%    
  Feb 12, 2021 275   @ UMKC W 71-70 54%    
  Feb 13, 2021 275   @ UMKC W 71-70 53%    
  Feb 19, 2021 248   North Dakota W 80-74 69%    
  Feb 20, 2021 248   North Dakota W 80-74 69%    
  Feb 26, 2021 305   @ Denver W 79-76 60%    
  Feb 27, 2021 305   @ Denver W 79-76 60%    
Projected Record 11 - 13 9 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Summit League Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.4 2.4 2.3 1.3 0.4 8.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.8 3.2 4.5 2.5 0.7 0.1 0.0 11.9 2nd
3rd 0.2 1.6 5.2 5.2 2.2 0.4 0.0 14.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 2.5 6.3 5.3 1.7 0.1 16.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 3.1 6.4 4.4 0.8 0.1 15.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.8 3.8 5.4 3.1 0.6 0.0 13.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 1.2 3.4 3.8 1.7 0.2 10.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 1.4 2.3 2.1 0.7 0.1 7.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.0 2.3 9th
10th 10th
Total 0.0 0.4 1.0 2.3 4.0 6.4 8.9 10.6 12.4 13.0 12.2 10.5 8.2 5.3 3.0 1.4 0.4 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 98.1% 0.4    0.4
15-1 95.0% 1.3    1.2 0.2
14-2 75.8% 2.3    1.5 0.8 0.0
13-3 46.3% 2.4    1.0 1.1 0.3 0.0
12-4 17.0% 1.4    0.3 0.6 0.4 0.1
11-5 2.9% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
10-6 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 8.2% 8.2 4.5 2.7 0.9 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.4% 57.7% 53.0% 4.7% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 10.0%
15-1 1.4% 46.4% 44.6% 1.8% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.7 3.3%
14-2 3.0% 36.0% 35.8% 0.3% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.9 0.4%
13-3 5.3% 28.1% 28.0% 0.2% 14.3 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.2 3.8 0.2%
12-4 8.2% 20.6% 20.6% 0.0% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.4 6.5 0.0%
11-5 10.5% 14.2% 14.2% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 9.0
10-6 12.2% 9.5% 9.5% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 11.1
9-7 13.0% 5.7% 5.7% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.6 12.2
8-8 12.4% 4.3% 4.3% 15.9 0.0 0.5 11.9
7-9 10.6% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 0.2 10.4
6-10 8.9% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.2 8.7
5-11 6.4% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.1 6.4
4-12 4.0% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 4.0
3-13 2.3% 2.3
2-14 1.0% 1.0
1-15 0.4% 0.4
0-16 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 9.6% 9.5% 0.1% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 1.8 2.6 3.6 90.4 0.1%